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Showing posts with the label Presidential Election

Riding the Volatility Wave: A VIX-Based Approach to Election Investing

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Here's the Real Reason Treasury Yields Are Rising (YouTube link ) Yield Curve Mystery: Why Did Yields Rise After the Fed Cut? The speakers in the video above are discussing the recent rise in the 10-year Treasury yield following the Federal Reserve's 50-basis-point interest rate cut. They propose four potential explanations for this unexpected yield increase: A Head Fake: The yield rise is temporary and will soon reverse. Bond Vigilantes: Investors are concerned about rising deficits and national debt, leading them to demand higher yields on government bonds. Market Repositioning: Investors who had bet on a recession are now selling bonds as the economic outlook improves. A New Market Paradigm: Investors are anticipating higher growth and inflation in 2025, leading to increased demand for higher-yielding bonds. The speakers from  DataTrek Research  lean towards the third or fourth explanation, suggesting that the market is shifting towards a new paradigm of stronger e...

2016 Campaign: Candidates' Tax Plans and You

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Alright Everybody Gather round The Candy Man is here What kind of candy do you want? Sweet chocolate? Chocolate walnut candy? Gum drops? Anything you want You've come to the right man because I'm the Candy man! — The Candy Man by Sammy Davis Jr.  Democrat vs Republican Democratic candidates Would increase revenue and make the system more progressive Republican candidates  Would cut revenue and make the system more regressive.  Candidates' Tax Plans The 2016 campaign has plenty of trash talk flying around. But one of these people is likely to be president, so you’d better know their plans, especially tax plans. There are huge differences. These differences are especially stark for very high-income households. Hillary Clinton   Is pretty steady. No earthquake Proposes much smaller tax increases, all focused on the rich Read more  here  on CNN Money's analysis Bernie Sanders   Would go for the biggest peaceti...