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Lower Tax Now or Tax-Free Forever? Weighing Roth Conversion vs. Traditional Contribution

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2023 tax rates for a single taxpayer (federal income tax rates in the United States are the same for 2023 and 2024) Scenario: Your taxable income is $12,000, placing you in the 12% tax bracket. Options: You could contribute more to a retirement account, thereby reducing your taxable income to below $11,001. Alternatively, you could perform a Roth conversion, pushing your taxable income up to the upper limit of $44,725. Weighing Roth Conversion vs. Traditional Contribution Here's a breakdown of the pros and cons for each option considering the potential sunset of favorable tax rates in 2025 and the benefits of Roth IRAs: Option 1: Traditional Retirement Account Contribution Pros: Lower your tax bill for 2024: This will put more money in your pocket now. Tax-deferred growth: Your contributions and earnings grow tax-deferred within the account. Cons: Tax on withdrawal: When you withdraw the money in retirement, you'll pay income tax at your then-current tax rate. RMDs: After rea...

Can Goldman Sachs' Conviction List Help You Make Money?

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Newsquawk reported on March 1st, 2024 that Goldman Sachs removed AAPL from its Conviction List. Conviction Buy List of  Goldman Sachs  Goldman Sachs offers a curated list of 20-25 stocks they believe hold strong buying potential, known as the Conviction Buy List. These stocks are  updated monthly , reflecting changes in the market. Analysts continuously evaluate companies and add or remove them from the list based on their outlook. Beyond Just Buys: A Balanced Approach Goldman Sachs also creates a Conviction Sell List to highlight stocks they believe may underperform the market. This balanced approach allows investors to consider both buying opportunities and potential risks. Diversification Across Industries The Conviction Buy List spans various sectors, giving investors exposure to a range of industries. From technology and healthcare to finance, consumer goods, and more, the list offers a diverse selection of potential investments. Conviction List as of 02/01/2024 Th...

Unlocking Price Insights: A Guide to Anchored VWAP in TradingView

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Standard VWAP vs Anchored VWAP Anchored VWAP in TradingView Explained Anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is a technical analysis tool available in TradingView for stocks and other financial instruments. It's a variation of the standard VWAP that offers more flexibility for analysis. The formula for Anchored VWAP is: Anchored VWAP Formula = Σ(Price x Volume) / ΣVolume  Understanding Supply and Demand with the AVWAP: The AVWAP helps traders understand supply and demand , key factors influencing market prices. It considers volume, price, and time to create a line that moves up with high demand and down with high supply . This is especially useful for swing traders and long-term traders ( not day traders ) who focus on these broader trends.  Read [1] for more details.  Anchored VWAP full walkthrough – what is AVWAP? (YouTube link ) Key Facts Benefits of Anchored VWAP: Targeted Analysis: You can analyze the VWAP based on a specific event or period, like a br...

Decoding the Fed: Four Key Factors Shaping Market Sentiment on February 29, 2024

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This is today's headline news on  bartchart.com : "March 10-year T-notes (ZNH24) this morning are up by +8 ticks, and the 10-year T-note yield is down -3.7 bp at 4.227%.  T-notes  shook off early losses today and  are slightly higher on some Fed-friendly economic news ." Fed-friendly economic news While the Federal Reserve considers many factors when making monetary policy decisions, there are four key factors that seem to have influenced the market's perception of "Fed-friendly" economic news this morning: Inflation: The January core PCE deflator, a key inflation measure, rose at the slowest pace in 2-3/4 years . This suggests easing price pressures , which aligns with the Fed's goal of price stability. Labor Market: Weekly jobless claims rose more than expected , indicating a potential softening of the labor market . This could be seen as a positive by the Fed, as they are looking to balance inflation control with maintaining full employment.  Purcha...

Demystifying the Neutral Rate: A Guide to the Fed's Monetary Policy

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𓆝 𓆟 𓆞 𓆝 𓆟 𓆞  Updated  content from Oct 9, 2024 𓆝 𓆟 𓆞 𓆝 𓆟 𓆞 𓆝 The neutral rate is the interest rate that doesn't stimulate or slow down the economy.  Investors should watch the neutral rate and the pace at which rates approach it: The Fed predicts a neutral rate of 3.4% in 2025, higher than their previous estimate of 2.5%. The market generally expects a neutral rate between 2.5% and 3.5% at this moment. The Arora Report disagrees and believes the neutral rate will be higher, likely in the range of 3.25% to 4.25% . They base this on the assumption that economic and geopolitical factors remain relatively stable . 𓆝 𓆟 𓆞 𓆝 𓆟 𓆞 Updated  content from August 23, 2024 𓆝 𓆟 𓆞 𓆝 𓆟 𓆞 𓆝 On August 23, 2024 , the Chair of the Federal Reserve said: “ The time has come for policy to adjust . The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.”  Chief Market...

RMDs Explained: Demystifying the Rules and Calculating Your Withdrawals

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Key points: You can withdraw more than the RMD amount. RMD withdrawals are taxed as income. Qualified Roth IRA distributions are not counted as Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs). Roth conversions   don't fulfill the RMD requirement . [4]   You must take your RMD for the year before converting to a Roth IRA.   The RMD amount is considered a taxable distribution and is not eligible for conversion. Failing to take RMDs results in a 50%  penalty  ( reduced to 25% by SECURE 2.0 , potentially 10% if corrected within two years). Roth IRAs do not require RMDs while the owner is alive. A 76-year-old with a $100,000 IRA balance would have an RMD of approximately $4,219.41 in 2024, which is about 4.22% of their account balance. Different rules apply to beneficiaries inheriting retirement accounts. What are RMDs? Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) are the minimum amoun...

Grow Your Retirement Savings Tax-Free: The Benefits of Roth IRAs

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Roth IRA: Key Takeaways Tax-Free Withdrawals : Roth IRAs allow  tax-free and penalty-free withdrawals  for qualified distributions. Unlike traditional IRAs, where withdrawals are taxed, Roth IRAs offer tax advantages. Contribution Limits : The  combined annual contribution limit  for traditional and Roth IRAs is  $6,500  (or $7,500 if you’re 50 or older). This limit applies to both types of IRAs combined. If you earn $161,000 or more as a single taxpayer, or $240,000 or more as a married-filing-jointly taxpayer, then you can't contribute anything directly to a Roth IRA in the 2024 tax year. Income Limitations : Roth IRA contributions are  phased out for higher-income earners . Verify your eligibility based on your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI). No Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) : Unlike traditional IRAs, Roth IRAs have  no mandatory withdrawals  after a certain age. You can leave funds in your Roth IRA indefinitely if you ch...