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Showing posts from August, 2025

Larry Fink's Bold Economic Forecast: Tariffs, Uncertainty, and the Future of Globalization (Aug 3, 2025)

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Larry Fink's Predictions For The Next Seven Years (YouTube link ) When Larry Fink was asked what macro or geopolitical trends he thought the world elites might be underestimating, he responded,  "I have no idea what the next seven days are going to be, but I'm very confident in the next seven years." In the video above, BlackRock CEO  Larry Fink  outlined his predictions for the next seven years, emphasizing the need for a reimagined "Globalization 2.0."  Key Takeaways Here’s a summary of his key points: Globalization’s Mixed Legacy: Fink acknowledges that globalization has lifted millions into the middle class over the past 25 years but has left many segments of society behind, fueling populism (e.g., Brexit). He advocates for a new globalization model that broadens economic benefits to include those previously excluded. U.S. Policy and Tariffs: The U.S. is disrupting traditional globalization and alliances through aggressive tariff policies. Fink predic...

Brian Moynihan's Take on the Economy: Inflation, AI, and Policy Challenges (Aug 3, 2025)

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Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan says consumers are "more cautious" amid Trump policies (YouTube link ) Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan , in the interview above, discussed the economic outlook and various factors impacting it: Economic Forecast: Bank of America's economists predict no rate hikes or recession in 2025 , expecting slower economic growth ( 1.5% this year , slightly higher in subsequent years). Inflation is expected to persist until 2026-2027 , with the Federal Reserve likely holding rates steady until mid-202 6 before cutting to a "normal" 3-3.5% range. Federal Reserve and Interest Rates: Despite market expectations of rate cuts in September, Moynihan’s team believes the Fed will remain cautious until inflation is under control, targeting a 2% rate. Tariff Impact: Moynihan noted tariffs could add 30-40 basis points to inflation , though their full impact is uncertain due to the unique economic context. Businesses are cautious, awaiting cla...

Joseph’s Financial Roundup – August 2nd Weekly Edition (2025)

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Markets Weekly August 2, 2025 (YouTube link ) In the video above, Joseph recapped a busy week of major market moves: Disappointing non-farm payrolls report raised Fed policy concerns Fresh GDP data released Earnings from the MAG7 tech giants Geopolitical tensions added market uncertainty Looking ahead: Eyes on the upcoming labor report Continued watch on global political developments Summary of Markets Weekly 1. Economic Data: GDP and Labor Market Second Quarter GDP Print: The headline GDP growth for Q2 was 3%, surpassing expectations. However, this follows a negative 0.5% growth in Q1, largely influenced by trade war dynamics (e.g., companies front-loading imports to avoid tariffs). Averaging the first half of 2025, GDP growth is around 1.25% , significantly slower than the 2.5% seen in recent years, indicating a cooling economy . Core GDP Measure: The "final sales to domestic purchasers" metric , which excludes volatile components like imports, exports, and inventories, s...

Trump Administration’s 2025 Tariff Updates by Country (July 31, 2025)

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Below is a summarized table of the tariff rates imposed by President Trump on various countries, as detailed in the ZeroHedge article titled " T-Day Arrives: Trump Raises Tariff On Dozens Of Countries, With Minimum Rate Of 10% " published on July 31, 2025, and related posts from X.  Summary Credit: Grok   2025 Tariff Updates by Country The table includes specific countries mentioned with their respective tariff rates, based on the available information. Note that some countries are grouped (e.g., "most countries" or "roughly 100 smaller countries"), and not all 150+ countries mentioned are individually listed in the sources. Where specific rates are provided, they are included; otherwise, the baseline or general rates are noted.