Financial Investment — Know the Housing Cycle
(Updated on 07/25/2018) For now, although #MortgageRates are rising, mortgage payments as % of disposable personal income remain at record low— Liz Ann Sonders 2017 was the best year since 2007 for new and existing home sales. However, there are headwinds looming. Based on two sources that I'm following, here are analysts' concerns: [1,2] Declining household formation Unaffordable mortgages Mortgage rates are based on mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which are essentially bonds that correlate quite well with US Treasuries. New tax bills No matter you are a house buyer or seller, you should know about Housing Market Cycle because house price will not rise forever without falling. The last housing bubble burst in 2008 should be a painful reminder of this fact. In [3], it sums it up clearly: It’s important to remember that the Great Recession was not caused by an unexpected event . To those who study the real estate cycle, the c...